YR4 has a small chance of hitting Earth in 2032, but as astronomers make more observations about its trajectory, the odds of a collision seem to be increasing

Asteroid headed for Earth 'could hit Moon', astronomer says - The odds of Asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth have increased – but could instead hit the Moon

The odds that asteroid 2024 YR4 could hit Earth in 2032 recently spiked from a little more than 1% to 2.3% as more observations are made.