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The GDP, the labor market and consumer confidence all offer measures to tell whether the U.S. economy is close to a recession ...
Stock markets have been falling, and the plunge accelerated after President Donald Trump unveiled wide-reaching U.S. tariffs. Here's what to know.
Mainstream measures have been slow to detect the impact of tariffs and uncertainty, leaving economists to scour earnings ...
Eight economists that make up the NBER committee determine a recession. The last one was during COVID in 2020.
Like umpires calling a baseball game, the BCDC’s job is to make an official call after the fact. That means we often don't know we're in a recession until it's already underway, or even over. "The ...
What's the difference between a recession and a depression? A recession is a downward trend in the business cycle ...
But what is a recession, really, and how would it impact you? A popular quip among economists is: “A recession is when your ...
They have a committee called the Business Cycle Dating ... For a recession, the decline is prolonged from around six months to two years, according to El Mahdy, but a depression can last several ...
Still, Bernstein sees a roughly 50/50 chance of a US recession because of the stagflationary shock from tariffs, which are expected to simultaneously slow the economy and increase prices. The policy ...
With the Dow Jones Industrial Average posting five daily declines of 500 points or more so far in April, it was only a matter ...
As President Donald Trump’s oft-changing tariff policies work their way through the economy, fears of a downturn pervade Main Street and Wall Street, with odds of the U.S. facing a recession ...
It shapes the interpretation of economic cycles ... It was the shortest recession in history but also the deepest. Even during the Great Depression we didn't fall that much in any particular ...