Although Ukraine dominates Russian attention today, Russian leaders are already considering their future. Whether Russia will pose a threat to NATO in the future depends on several drivers: -Does Russia retain territory captured from Ukraine?

A satellite image shows a part of Lipetsk military airbase, after Ukraine said it hit the area, in this satellite image taken on August 9, 2024, in Lipetsk region, Russia. 2024 Planet Labs Inc/Handout via REUTERS/File Photo (Reuters) - Ukrainian forces attacked infrastructure at a military airfield in Russia's Lipetsk region and an explosives-manufacturing enterprise in the Nizhny Novgorod region,