Jul 19, 2020 · "All adults" means that those people who can't vote are included, this tends to make the poll less accurate and skews towards the Democrats. "Registered voters", this means that voter registration lists are used in the sampling process. (In the US, registration is an "opt-in" process, and varies from state to state.

Jul 19, 2021 · Although an asterisk usually indicates that a poll is conducted by - or on behalf of - a partisan source, in the case of the RealClearPolitics tracker, this denotes that the polling includes figures for third-party candidates which have been truncated to provide the head-to-head two-party figure.

Nov 5, 2012 · Nate Silver defines herding as the tendency of polling firms to produce results that closely match one another, especially toward the end of a campaign On November 5 2012 Drew Linzer wrote a p...

Jun 23, 2019 · Elections to the Lok Sabha (the lower house of India's parliament) take place every 5 years. The last elections were in 2019, so the next scheduled elections will happen in 2024.

Jul 22, 2021 · As to what rule governs how many polls: There's no hard-and-fast rule. They make decisions on a poll-by-poll basis. McIntyre’s position is as follows. There are too many polls, and particularly too many national tracking polls (on this point, I tend to agree).

Jun 12, 2024 · There is no need of a pre-poll alliance, but it can help voters understand the effect of their vote (eg a vote for the JD(U) will increase the chance that Modi will remain in power.) A pre-poll alliance can also avoid the "spoilage" effect of several parties with similar policies opposing each other in the "first past the post" system.

Feb 27, 2023 · Someone answering "disagree" to this poll question might genuinely believe that it's not ok to be White (and unpacking the actual complex meaning behind such a genuine answer would require more than a simple agree/disagree question), but they might also be refusing to agree with a statement associated with neo-Nazi groups.

Dec 5, 2019 · The "trick" is to poll fewer respondents (for example the last YouGov MPR poll only surveyed some 13,000 people, still an order of magnitude more than for a regular popularity poll, but a lot less than would be needed for a conventional poll in every seat) but to compensate for that by having a historically and/or census-informed model of how ...

Nov 6, 2019 · The correct way to interpret a poll is pretty involved-- you have to understand their sampling strategy, what assumptions get "baked in" to the information that comes out of the polls as a result, the margin of error, the response rate, the effect size the poll can detect based on its statistical power, and other factors.

Your first line suggests that you're thinking of a straw poll. This is an unofficial vote taken to gauge support for something, prior to the official vote on the bill. These are not common in Congress because of all the negotiation that takes place in committee and behind the scenes. –