But don't start spending that money quite yet. DOGE ideally must meet its $2 trillion savings goal to make the kickback possible. And that accomplishment is something even Elon Musk, the unofficial leader of DOGE, said may not be doable back in January.

As the Department of Government Efficiency looks to make massive spending cuts, there's talk of sending some of the money back to Americans.

The idea of a hefty DOGE dividend stimulus check is undeniably appealing, but current data suggest that, if implemented, it would be more symbolic than transformative.